100 Lingfield-Bredon Hill Lad won nicely last time but will be carrying a big weight in very soft ground,added to that a record of 0w-1p-6r when its raced over a distance further than 2m6 and it looks vulnerable.
Halo Moon is a big danger,as its progressing over fences and should appreciate the step up in trip but the trainer is just 7% with his horses here and at 7/4,it can be swerved.
Cheat the Cheater ran right up to its best on its seasonal debut and holds chances on that but it has a career record of just 1 win from 21 starts,which puts me off although I think it will run well.
The one that catches my eye is Line D`Aois.
It made a promising chasing debut last season and holds serious chances on that rating but has gone backwards since.
Interestingly,it was well supported in the market for its first run this season but ran no sort of race.
If the money was right then it may not be the lost cause it appears as that rating from last season stands out here.
It will be fine on the ground.
Back Line D`Aois 6pts at 8.0 at various bookies-3rd(-6pts)Too clever for my own good,fav was vulnerable and Cheat the Cheater was the more solid call.
130 Lingfield-Never Says Never won nicely 9 days ago,on just its 2nd start for the Honeyball stable and stands out here on the rating it posted that day.
It escaped a penalty for that and with the young rider claiming 7Ib off,will be receiving lumps of weight from the rest of the field.
Although this is a step up in class,the trainer has a fantastic record of 13/20 when moving a horse up in class that won its last race.
Sirop De Menthe is on a roll and is greatly respected,its won around here and is fine on the ground but will be giving the selection nearly 2 stone,which wont be easy in this ground.
Mr Fitzroy is consistent but beatable while Thunder Sheik is up in class and unproven on the ground.
Back Never Says Never 18pts at 3.0 at Totesport/Betfred -Won(+36pts)Won nicely despite hurdling a bit iffy.DT+30pts)
Running Total+8331.45pts
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