15th October

4.0 Wetherby-Half the field make their seasonal debut and while a couple have won when fresh before,you wouldnt say they are at their best first time out and if they are a little ring rusty then this race opens right up for horses that have been in good consistent form.

Deciding Moment fits that bill,after just 8 starts over fences,its barely ran a bad race and looks likely to run its race again.

This horse stays very well and with lots of pace in this race,it could set up ideally.

Foundation Man drops in class but looks like it would prefer a slightly easier surface and its now 13Ibs higher than its last winning mark.

Scotch Warrior has nothing in hand of the handicapper and while it should run well,its a much better horse at its beloved Perth.

Alderbrook Lad has been in good form over hurdles and has a lower chase rating.It needs to improve but conditions are ideal for it.

Back Deciding Moment 7pts at 6.5 at bet365/Skybet(Accept 6.0)-3rd(-7pts)Well backed into 7/2 and held every chance but was one paced in the straight.

420 Nottingham-Ty Gwr is a still a fresh horse this flat season after just 3 starts.It showed very little in the first two until a fine run last time out in a higher grade than this.

I expect to see even better here over further and on very soft ground.Its 2w-1p-3r in October and is unexposed over this trip after just 3 runs.

If it can repeat its run over trip and ground last October then it will take a bit of stoppping.

Green Light is still a maiden but its sire loved soft ground and its very much respected.

Missed Call makes its second start for James Fanshawe and wouldnt be out of it while Lady Tiana has a solid profile and wont be far away.

Back Ty Gwr 9pts at 5.5 at Ladbrokes/betvictor(Accept 5.0)-2nd(-9pts)Frustrating run continues.Horse ran a great race but just bumped into one here.(DT-16pts)