4th April

330 Carlisle-A short price for No Deal but ive got it even shorter.
Its only had the 2 starts over fences and has a nice progressive look.
It clearly likes a break between its races(41 days+ 3w-1p-5r) and won its bumper,on its only start here.
Viable opposition is thin on the ground,And the Man has only completed one of its last 6 starts and is better at Ayr while Carlos Fandango has a chance at its best but prefers to let something beat it.
Back No Deal 25pts at 2.5 at betfair sportsbook(Accept 2.25)-3rd(-25pts)Never really travelling but rallied and just beaten 1/2 a length.

3.0 Newton Abbot-This is a tight race and although up in class,Starkie appeals as a bit of value here.
Its got no great record fresh ,so it was a very encouraging seasonal debut last time(on its first run for this yard) and that bare rating gives it a shout but hopefully it should improve on that.
Its profile offers a lot of hope it will.In fields of 9 or less(3w-2p-7r)...Returning to the track within 40 days or less 3w-1p-5r and 4w-2p-9r over todays distance.
Brick Red,Grey Gold and Ulck Du Lin have all got the ratings to go close.
Back Starkie 7pts at 8.0 at Betfair sportsbook(Accept 6.0)-2nd(-7pts)Well backed but basically was out of its ground when the outsider of the whole field kicked clear.Another one that got away I feel!

125 Haydock-Hopefully the ground wont deteriorate too much as Village Vic wouldnt want it bottomless but this horse has a much better chance the current odds suggest.
It latest run puts it clear top rated and it looks to be still improving,as that speed figure is miles clear of anything else in this race.
This horse is a 2/1 chance on my tissue.
Just Cameron is the main danger for me,as its very progressive but will need a serious performance,giving 15Ibs to the selection.
Back Village Vic 11pts at 5.0 at various bookies(Accept 4.3)-Pulled Up(-11pts)Backed from 4/1 into 9/4 and pulled up after jumping badly left throughout.Unbelievably Bad!
All 3 selections were pinpointed as being the wrong price and they duly shortened but no reward.
(DT-43pts)

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