This horse is better at 7f,as a record of 0w-4p-18r at 6f suggests.
Then there is the time of year,From July to November,its 0w-4p-34r.That is an tough stat to overcome and its a very vulnerable favourite.
Sixties Love looks like a horse that wants this drop in trip while Chevise is 6w-6p-23r in this grade and ran well last time.
Top Offer won this race last year and now drops back in trip after racing at further.
Costa Filey ran well here 2 starts back and also drops in class(Class 6 2w-1p-6r).
The booking of De Sousa could be significant for Rambo Will,as it drops in class.
Lay Welsh Inlet 20pts at 5.5(Lay upto 6.0)-UP(Wasnt Matched)
235 Newbury-Consort will be all the rage here,its improving and looks like it wants further than a mile but the 10 furlongs isnt guaranteed on pedigree and there have been plenty of shocks in this race.
Fire Fighting should go well but is up class while Intilaaq is lightly raced but needs some serious improvement.
The only other in with a shout on my figures is Mustadeem.This horse takes a drop in class and is improving.
Its latest effort behind a potentially top notcher in Time Test,is good form and the speed figure was massive.
It looks a silly price to me.
Back Mustadeem 6pts at 8.0 at various bookies(Accept 6.0)-UP(-6pts)Crazy ride from the front and was legless 1 furlong out.
220 Market Rasen-Vivant Poeme is improving and should go well but is the right price.
Sea Lord looks rock solid to run well.Its the only horse to have won in this grade and is 1 from 1 at this track.
The trainer is in fine form with an incredible 6 from 12 record with his handicap hurdlers here and the jockey is 19 wins from 44 rides for this yard.
It looks impossible to kick out of the frame.
Back Sea Lord 7pts each way at 6.0 at Corals/Hills(Accept 5.5)-Won(+42pts)Stayed on strongly to grind it out.
330 Market Rasen-Dan Skelton identified this race as the target for Pumped Up Kicks way back and it comes in here as unexposed after just 5 runs over fences and also as the top rated on my figures.
The trainer is 3 from 10 with his handicap chasers here and it should go very well.
Dell Arca looks the danger.
Back Pumped Up kicks 6pts at 8.0-4th(-6pts)Ran a decent race but just couldnt quite get there.
240 Cartmel-Despite this being incredibly weak,Lord Lir is nearly always a horse to take on,as its career record of 0 from 26 suggests.
Roxyfet drops in class but is short enough in the betting while Forestside is pretty unreliable.
The overpriced one is Great Demeanour,who has only had the 4 starts over fences and would win this if repeated its latest 2nd.
Back Great Demeanour 12pts at 4.5-3rd(-12pts)Very weak in the betting and no show
315 Cartmel-Up in class and up in the weights would normally put me off but Cool Star`s rating when routing its rivals over course and distance last time,is superior to anything in this race.
Since being switched to front running,the horse seems to have had a new lease of life.Hopefully it can get out in front and stay there for a yard that are 4 from 10 with their chasers here.
Romany Ryme made a succesful hurdle debut for Gordon Elliott last time and now moves over fences.It looks the danger.
Back Cool Star 9pts at 5.5-UP(-9pts)Well backed but just didnt jump well enough.(DT+9pts)
Monthly Total-93.4pts
Running Total+7800.85pts
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