315 Chepstow-Memphis Bell continues to defy the handicapper but it was beaten 98 lengths on its only run here before,so its possible its vulnerable and a tight enough price to boot.
Take it on with Little Red Lion,whos progressive and reverts to hurdles here.Its 2w-2p-6r on heavy and its form figures over trips between 2m7f and 3m1f read 1st-1st-Fell-1st.
Le Tueur would hold chances on its win 2 starts back but it ran below par last time.
Back Little Red Lion 8pts at 6.0 at Various Bookies-Won(+40pts)Fine ride and a gutsy horse got it done.
630 Southwell-It might look stupid as they go over the line but Crazy Spin is such an incredibly short price here.
It is a 4 time course winner but its got little in hand on my figures and it faces competition for the lead from Susie Javea,so 13/8 looks really tight,Id be amazed if it doesnt drift.
False Id ended a long losing run at the weekend but its got a bit on here on my ratings,the obvious unknown is Szarratu ,who makes its debut after racing in Poland and is imterestingly owned by Dan Skelton but the betting should tell its tale.
On my figures,the value is Van Dijk,who should be favourite for me.It finished a close second last time from out the handicap and now appears off 4Ibs lower,so its handicapping chance is a good one and as long as it doesnt chuck in one of its slow starts then it must go close.
Back Van Dijk 12pts at 4.0 at Various Bookies-2nd(-12pts)Looked the winner after coming with a strong run up the straight(Touched 1.03 in running) but the winner rallied.(DT+28pts)
Monthly Total+188.50pts
Running Total+412.25pts
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