2nd January

 205 Ayr-Evander is progressive and could be too good but it may get taken on upfront and the lack of heavy ground form would make me wary.

Flowery should go well although its rising up the weights without winning while Clan Legend is now off a career high mark at the age of 11.

Jonniesofa has conditions in his favour and wont be far away but at a price,I think Charmant is value here.

It drops 2 grades after contesting two grade 1`s this season ,Brian Hughes is 4 from 9  on it,its 3w-0p-6r in class 3 races and its 1/1 over these fences and its back on itd last winning mark,so a return to form would not be a massive surprise.

Back Charmant 1pt at 9.0 at Bet365/888sport-Meeting Abandoned

225 Sandown-I would definitey have the prices of Metier and Galice Macalo closer together and the latter looks value to me.

Both are progressive but I like the proven course and class form of Galice Macalo.

Back Galice Macalo 13pts at 3.75 at Bet365-UP(-13pts)Far too keen and dropped away.

335 Sandown-Guard Your Dreams makes its handicap debut and although its progressive,it has very little in hand of its mark on my ratings and im keen to take it on.

Friend Or Foe has gone up 13Ibs for winning last time plus its up in class and it looks vulnerable.

The Pink`n looks better on good ground and its 10Ibs higher than its last winning mark,so this looks a fair opportunity for Monsieur Lecoq.

Its been running in France or over fences or in a higher grade but its form figures in this class on soft ground and they read 1st-1st,including this race 2 years ago.

Its last run in handicap company ,it came 2nd to a horse that is now rated 22Ibs higher.

It must go close.

Back Monsieur Lecoq 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-3rd(-12pts)Never got involved.

410 Wolverhampton-Fair Star has only had 4 runs and each run has seen it progress on my ratings.

Its only had 1 run over this trip and I would have it around the 6/4 mark.

Lord Of The Alps is also lightly raced but has no track form and im surprised to see a claimer booked.

Back Fair Star 16pts at 3.25 Paddy/Betvictor-2nd(-16pts)

540 Wolverhampton-So much deadwood in this and I like the class dropper Michelle Strogoff.

Its a triple course winner and has only ever had 1 run in this grade and is now 22Ibs lower than its last winning mark.With a nice draw to boot,if it can just run its race then it should take this.

Ascot Week is 3w-1p-7r in this grade but is 0w-0p-9r around this trip.Revolutionary Man has been in decent form but it may be better at shorter and it ran a shocker on its only start here.

Back Michelle Strogoff 10pts at 4.5 at Various Bookies-UP(-10pts)Another day of well  acked horses faiing to deliver.(DT-51pts)


No comments:

Post a Comment