26th October

235 Newcastle-Bob Will ran well last time but is a very inconsistent performer and a record of  1/24 speaks for itself.Im going to take it on with Coppers Gold,who goes well at the track,is 2wins-4places-9runs on good to soft,in fields of 0-9 runners its 2wins-4places-10runs and definitely has gained its best ratings after a break,41days or more 3wins-3places-11runs as opposed to 40 days or less 0wins-2places-11runs.
Back Coppers Gold 12pts at 5.0 at Bet365(Accept  4.0)-UP(-12pts)Really poor run and made worse  that Bobs Will won the race

640 Wolverhampton-Fairly typical competitve AW race but one in which I think Kazbow is overpriced.It achieved the top rating last time and is very well handicapped having dropped 15Ibs in its last 5 runs.It can now drop back into a class 5 for the first time in 2 years.In this class its last 6 runs have yielded 2wins and 4 2nd places.I would be surprised if this didnt shorten up.
Back Kazbow 6pts at 13.0 at Paddy Power(Accept 10.0)-UP(-6pts)Halved in price,so got that bit right but no good although it looked lame at the finish.(DT-18pts)

305 Fakenham-Laudatory is a strong traveller that often flatters to decieve.Im Happy to lay it in running.
Lay Laudatory 30pts at 6.0-UP(+30pts)(DT+12pts)

710 Wolverhampton-Welsh Bard has been well supported and that has to be respected but it looks very short now.Wayne Manor is very solid and should run well but the fact that Ryan Moore travels on from Doncaster to get here on time to ride Saint Helena may be significant.Ive got it top rated but over a shorter trip,however its only ran once over tonights distance.Looks the value to me.
Back Saint Helena 6pts at 9.0-UP(-6pts)(DT+6pts)Rubbish tipping!
Days total minus commission+5.7pts
Monthly Total+265.65pts
Running Total+4205.10pts