26th March

430 Southwell-Jacobs Son has been in good form recently but is 0wins-1place-8runs in class 4 races and may be vulnerable.Northside Prince needs to prove its stamina while Phoenix Flight isnt proven on this surface and may be better with a more recent run(29 days+ 1win-4places-19runs).
So the best value in the race is Lexington Bay who is proven on the track,has no stamina doubts and ran well last time.Its also 5wins-2places-14runs when returning to the track within 28 days.
Back Lexington Bay 12pts at 4.5 at Ladbrokes(Accept 4.0)-Won(+42pts)Looked beaten 3 furlongs out but under a tremendous ride from Tony Hamilton,just got up.

5.0 Southwell-Despite being 2/3 at this track,Im surprised to see Neighbourhood as favourite as its not proven over this far and has a few Ibs to find with the top rated Lakota Ghost,who is very unexposed over staying trips and on this surface.
Neils Pride should run ok but has never won.Scribe is solid at this trip and track and should be the main danger.
Back Lakota Ghost 9pts at 5.5(Accept 5.3)-(Wasnt Matched)

450 Lingfield-Theres a possibility that the progressive Wordiness and Admiral Duque will improve past Norfolk Sky but its such a big price,that it has to be supported.
The selection is a consistent animal and 2wins-1place-6runs at this track.When returning to race after a break of between 15 to 40 days,it is a very solid 5wins-2places-11runs and its run last time puts it top rated.
Wordiness is considered a bigger danger of the 2 mentioned.
Back Norfolk Sky 8pts at 7.0 at Bet365 & Victor ChandlerUP(-8pts)Weak in the pre race market and ran accordingly(DT+34pts)
Monthly Total+172.40pts
Running Total+5275.81pts

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