The Musical Guy continues to put up good ratings but still hasnt won while Thanks for Coming does all its winning on tracks the other way round(L/H 0w-2p-8r)
Gullible Gordon is 0w-0p-4r at this track and the consistent Thats the Deal is always competitve off a hcp mark of around 105 but will need to find something to defy its new mark of 113.
Back Bescot Springs 8pts at 7.0 at Paddys(Accept 6.5) -UP(-8pts)Called the market right as it shortened up but produced a poor run.
735 Aintree-Very competitive race.FiftyoneFiftyone has a clear pattern in its profile and looks vulnerable here.This horse likes to give weight away to lesser horses rather than recieve weight like it does today.When carrying less than 11st,its has a poor record of 0w-1p-9r.It has the same record when racing in class 4 races like it has to today.Add to that,a below par run when unseating last time and the forecast rain is not in its favour either.This horse should be the clear outsider in this field.
All of its opponents have a decent chance,Jack the Gent looks progressive and hasnt finished out of the 1st in its last 6 chase starts.
Anay Turge loves 2m with a little cut in the ground and should get that.Unforgettable is top rated and deserves to get its head in front.
Dineur back to 2miles isnt out of it and Nobunaga will like the ground if the rain comes.
Lay FiftyoneFiftyOne 30pts at 6.0-UP(Not Matched)
*Cancel or trade out if Jack the gent,Anay Turge or Unforgettable dont run and leave in running if not matched,if they do*
640 Chepstow-Emmuska is possibly at its best on the polytack at Lingfield but it has won on good ground on turf and I feel they have been excuses for some of its runs(Soft ground,Seasonal debut,final run of the season) on grass.Providing there isnt a deluge of rain,it looks to hold a very good chance,3w-0p-8r in fields of 9 or less,4w-0p-8r at a todays distance and 3w-0p-7r in todays grade.
Yojojo and Lady Bayside are the dangers.
Back Emmuska 16pts at 3.75 at Paddys(Accept 3.0)-2nd(-16pts)Obviously it looks this horse is a better horse on polytack and this is was there for the taking.(DT-24pts)
905 Goodwood-Extrasolar looks to be in a rich vein of form and still improving.Ive got it clear top rated and the trainer is operating at a 20% strike rate.
Freddy with A Y,Sejalaat and Bluegrass Blues are the dangers.
Back Extrasolar 9pts at 6.0 at Paddys(Accept 5.7)-Won(+45pts)Always travelling well and quickened up well.(DT+21pts)
Monthly Total+55.97pts
Running Total+5397.6pts
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