210 Newcastle-Wide open race with several with chances.
I think its worth having a go with 2 outsiders that may have better chances than their odds suggest.
Rock Relief ran poorly last time over a trip too far,Was outclassed in the fighting fifth hurdle the time before and maybe needed the run after a break 3 starts back.
This horse now drops back to its best trip,at its favourite track(Newcastle 1w-1p-3r),on ground it handles(Heavy 1w-1p-3r).
This is a drop in class for it.It hasnt raced in a class 4 handicap since November 2012.(Class 4 1w-3p-5r)
Sparkling Hand looks to have a pretty inconsistent profile but it does appear to have a pattern that warrants an interest.
It loves it here(Newcastle 2w-1p-4r),Its 2 wins from 4 runs on heavy and is 3w-1p-12r in this class.The trainer is in good form and this horse has a habit following a poor run with a victory.(Last 3 form figures before a win were 6th-Pulled UP-8th)
Back Rock Relief 4pts at 15.0-2nd
Back Sparkling Hand 4pts at 15.0(Both at varous bookies)-UP(-8pts)
245 Newcastle-If its recovered from its race 11 days ago then I can see Rolecarr outrunning its price.
Its at its best on a left handed track(7 career wins) and heavy ground(3w-4p-11r).Its trainer is 4 from 16 with her chasers here.Im surprised at its price.
Imperial Vic is respected as a pretty consistent horse while Rose of the Moon is dropped in class but has been struggling of late.
Fentara loves heavy ground(4w-2p-10r) but ran a shocker first time out for a horse with a good record fresh.
Tutchev is a progressive horse for a trainer thats 10 from 44 with his chasers here.It may have more to come but it does need to find more.
I cannot see Badger Foot doing anything on this ground.
Back Rolecarr 11pts at 7.0 at Betvic-4th(-11pts)Story of so many recently.Even with the 2 non runners,this was well backed but just hasnt run its race.Been a rubbish week!(DT-19pts)
Accept 5.5
Monthly Total-66.67pts
Running Total+5876.33pts
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