Sound Advice has been running well and has finished 1st and 2nd in its 2 starts at this track,for another yard going well.
Brian Ellison has won this race twice in recent years and I expect his Big Storm Coming to put up a much improved performance.
Sbraase didnt get a clear run on its latest start but despite that,has it to do on my figures.It looks far too short.
Lay Sbraase 20pts at 4.5(lay upto 5.5)-UP(Cancelled)
710 Newcastle-I respect Pelerin,whos improving and was an unlucky loser last time but im not sure it should be favourite over Lily Rules.
The selection has ran in group races this season and should appreciate the drop into listed company.
Its 2 from 3 at this track and the trainer is 8 from 39 with his runners here.
Magic of Reality has chances on its form over a mile but needs to prove itself over this longer distance.
Back Lily Rules 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies.-UP(-12pts)Strong in the market but an unbelievably bad run.
250 Yarmouth-Roxy Lane suddenly burst into form last time.The trainer stated it had been suffering from sore shins and after only 5 runs on the turf,its pretty unexposed on the grass.
The biggest danger looks to be Lady Sylvia who gets Oisin Murphy onboard for the first time.
Speciality looks a bit shorter than I would have it especially as it likes to come 2nd a lot.
Back Roxy Lane 12pts at 4.3 at betvictor(Accept 3.75)-UP(-12pts)Finished right next door to Lady Sylvia,who it beat last time,so that race has clearly been overrated.Got the race completely wrong.
830 Chester-This is pretty wide open but Caramack looks nailed on to run well.This horse has been in really consistent form,its jockey is 3 from 5 for the yard and it has a good draw in stall 2.It looks difficult to keep out of the frame.
Tidentime has chances but stall 8 isnt going to help matters while similar comments apply to Piceno,whos only 1 stall closer to the rail.
Swift Cedar could run well but may prefer slower ground.
Back Caramack 4pts each way at 9.0 at corals/Bet365-4th(-8pts)Ground softened up a bit much then Fell out the stalls and stayed on late into 4th(of course)
455 Musselburgh-The obvious one here is Longshadow,who won 4 days ago and reappears under a penalty.
If its recovered it will run well but its a quick turnaround for a 2 mile race.
Mason Hindmarsh drops in class but is only 1w-5p-21r in fields of 9 or less.
Voice from Above has been inconsistent and so far,better at shorter.It did win well last time though and isnt out of it.
Underwritten lost its way badly last season and its possible that the horse isnt any good anymore.
However,It has joined a yard that have been in great form recently,its 14Ibs lower than its last winning mark plus 3w-1p-10r between May and July and Jason Hart is 2 from 9 for this yard.
This is its seasonal debut and the market will tell whether its ready but the price is big enough to warrant an interest.
Back Underwritten 5pts at 13.0 at Paddys(Accept 7.0)-3rd(-5pts)Ran well and probably one to be with next time with this run under its belt.(DT-37pts)
Another absolutely rubbish day.
Monthly Total+1.25pts
Running Total+6918.87pts
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