29th July

735 Newmarket-Bunbury won last time but looks an awful price at the head of the market.Down in trip and up in class and still needs to find a few pounds according to my figures.
It creates some value elsewhere and I like Baltic Brave.
This horse hasnt got a great record but when it has won,its always been when returned to the track within 28 days like today.
Its record on the July Course at Newmarket in Class 4 races reads 2-2-2-1-2 and its run here a week ago makes it the one beat on my figures.
Alnashama is a danger but the drop in trip may not suit while He`s My Boy runs well here(2 course wins) and represents a yard in great form,this is a rise in grade and its not handled that yet(Class 4 0w-0p-4r)
The one I worry about is Athletic,who is extremely well handicapped now and has good course form to its name.This is a drop in grade and gets a promising young claimer onboard for the first time.
Im not tipping it but I wouldnt put anyone off a saver on it.
Back Baltic Brave 9pts at 5.5 at Bet365/Betvictor-3rd(-9pts)Bit of a laboured performance.Never looked like winning.

815 Bath-Stosur is a fairly limited filly but after winning this race this last 2 seasons,if its ever going to be revved up ,it will be tonight.
Its nicely handicapped now off a mark 8Ibs below its last winning mark and clearly runs this track well.Its last run here(3 starts back) saw it finish behind 2 horses that have won since and I like the booking of Luke Morris.
Red Tea is clearly the one to beat,its slowly progressing and consistent but as always with me,its price related and this is short enough.
Back Stosur 10pts at 5.0 at Hills-3rd(-10pts)Ran a good race but found the 3yo`s too good(DT-19pts)
Monthly Total+209.05pts
Overall Total+8631pts