8th February

3.0 Newcastle-There are some very in form horses running in this,none more so than Tipsy Dara,who continues to progress and has a very solid profile(0-9 runners)4wins-0places-9runs and (Heavy Ground) 5w-1p-8r.Armedanddangerous could have loads more to offer and Overyou is a consistent dour stayer.Take Over Sivola will handle the conditions but its ratings over this trip are way below its best and its a very inconsistent animal anyway.

Lay Take Over Sivola 30pts at 5.5-UP(+30pts)

410 Newcastle-A field of largely exposed horses here except for Sleep in First,who although hasnt won a race yet,is still very unexposed as a chaser.It fell last time when looking the winner and providing that hasnt left a mark,it should go well here.

Back Sleep in First 15pts at 3.5 at Bet365(Accept 3.25)-2nd(-15pts)Bad mistake in the back straight saw it lose its place before staying on again but the winner had gone.(DT+15pts)

345 Bangor-Lean Burn is no handicap good thing but is a pretty solid horse in this race,this course winner has conditions to suit(0-9 runners 3w-1p-10r) and should go well.Lucky Prince drops back to 2m where it has got the ratings to go close after pulling up last time.Louxor Des Mottes and Mecox Bay both make their handicap debuts so they may improve while Engai is fav but will need to improve to win on my ratings.

Back Lean Burn 8pts at 6.4(Accept 5.3)-UP(-8pts)Never travelling(DT+7pts)

Days total minus commission+6.65pts

Monthly Total+170.90pts

Running Total+4940.23pts