The profile horse in the race is Carpincho.As you would expect in a race like this,it does have a negative in its profile(it prefers sharper tracks than this) however there are plenty of positives also.It ran below par when last seen 87 days ago but that was over 3 miles and the drop back to this trip will suit it more.
After a break of 80 days or more its 2w-0p-6r.....Its 4w-0p-9r in this class....3w-1p-6r in fields of 10 or more...4w -0p-10r on good to soft/soft ground.....2 from 2 going right handed and Richard Johnson is 3w-1p-7r when riding for the Sarah Humphrey yard.
Theres enough there to warrant an interest at the prices.
Back Carpincho 6pts at 9.5 at Bet365-2nd(-6pts)Well backed all day into 4.5 and ran well but couldnt hold the winner.
Accept 9.0
430 Lingfield-This is competitive.Kings Request is top rated and very unexposed at staying trips.Liam Jones is 4 from 16 for this yard and it should go close.
Honest Strike is very consistent,Has 2 wins from 4 at this trip and 3 wins from 7 tries at this track.
Keep Kicking is 2w-3p-8r around here and if repeating its latest rating,will be in the mix.
Back up to 2 miles,Peachez could go well while Wheres Susie at its best,would win this.
Cabuchon isnt proven at this trip nor in this grade(Class 5 0w-0p-3r) and should be bigger than it is.
Lay Cabuchon 20pts at 5.5 -UP(+20pts)(DT+14pts)
*Cancel or Tarde out if Kings Request.Honest Strike or Keep Kicking dont run*
Stop Loss at 1.5 to lose 60% of liability
Days total minus commission+13pts
Monthly Total-0.54pts
Running Total+6064.52pts
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