Today it runs off its correct mark and it must have a decent chance of gaining a 2nd career win.
The unexposed Monsieur Lavene looks the main danger.It clocked a very good speed figure last time although that was at Lingfield and they did have a very strong wind blowing them home down the straight that day.Its not proven here and on that basis,I feel the prices are wrong.
Saffire Song is improving but is going to need to do so again to win this.
Back Argent Touch 12pts at 4.0 at bet365/Paddys-2nd(-12pts)Looked to me like the jockey thought he had Monsieur Lavene covered(which it did) but didnt see Saffire Song bursting through.That got first run and although it pegged it back a bit,it wasnt enough.Got the value again but to no avail.
4.0 Ludlow-This is pretty open.Big Casino ran well last time while Bhakti is improving and makes its handicap debut.Both of these horse are around the right price.
Sealous Scout makes its handicap debut but will need to find more while Ballygrooby Bertie steps up in trip for a yard that have sprung back to life.
The pick of the prices for me is Spencer Lea.This horse has only had 3 runs over hurdles and clearly found 3 miles too far last time.
The ratings it posted on its first 2 runs over todays trip give it a solid chance.Add into that this is its handicap debut and Richard Johnson is booked to ride for the first time.
The jockey is 2 wins from 7 rides for this yard.
Back Spencer Lea 6pts at 8.0 at Bet365/Sky/Betfred-Won(+42pts)Well backed and a vintage ride from Johnson got the job done.(DT+30pts)
Monthly Total+56.46pts
Running Total+6121.52pts
No comments:
Post a Comment