405 Chepstow-Loughalder pulled up on its seasonal debut and after running poorly on its final start of last season,there is always the chance the horse has lost its way but there is plenty of evidence for us to expect a much better run today.
This horse starts winning after the turn of the year(Jan to April 5w-1p-12r) and is 4w-1p-14r in fields of 10 or less.
But the biggest thing in its favour is a return to this course where its form figures on the chase track read 3rd-1st-1st-1st.
Gunna Be a Devil could get a solo in front and that has to be a worry,its probably the biggest danger as im not sure about Favoured Nation on this ground
Back Loughalder 9pts at 6.0-3rd
(7.0 is now available)
255 Chepstow-Strange Bird is a bit in and out but is unexposed over fences and was in fromt 4 out when coming to grief last time.
Its previous run,when winning on its chase debut,gives it a decent chance here and its 2 from 8 on heavy ground.
Head Spin looks the obvious danger but is 0w-1p-6r on heavy and 0w-1p-5r in this grade.
Its trainers record of 0 from 19 in handicap chases here only adds to the doubts over its ability to run up to form.
Long John is diffficult to assess while Eastern Witness drops in trip and hasnt had many chances over fences but hasnt looked any good so far.
Back Strange Bird 12pts at 4.3 at Paddys(Accept 3.5)-Pulled Up(DT-21pts)A couple of sorry selections today.Both very weak in the betting and ran accordingly.Very poor finish to the finish after such a good start.
Monthly total+154.50pts
Running Total+7338.79pts
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