10th February

245 Ayr-A race that contains a few stepping up in trip.One of which is the selection,Gilnockie.
This horses ratings have improved as its gradually stepped up in distance and now makes its handicap debut ,over 3 miles for the first time.
Its sire Kayf Tara won the Ascot Gold Cup on the flat over 2m4f,so you would expect this trip to really suit this horse.
Its latest rating over 2m4f suggests it could be on a decent mark and I would have it right at the front of the market.
Teddy Tee,although improving,is going to have to find plenty of improvement to win this,on my figures.
One For Arthur ,has a similar profile to the selection and is respected along with Bryden Boy and Turtle Cask.
Back Gilnockie 8pts at 5.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.5)-2nd(-8pts)

420 Ayr-Habbie Simpson,just found the ground and track against it,when a selection for us 25 days ago.
On this softer ground,going left handed(5w-4p-15r) and galloping track(3w-1p-7r on such tracks) I would expect a good run.
Its 2 from 2 in February and the trainer is 9 from 31 with her chasers here.
The booking of McCoy on Yes Tom,suggests a big run is expected but the market expects that already.
Sa Suffit is the only other horse in the race with any kind of recent form but is 12 now.
Back Habbie Simpson 8pts at 6.0 at bet365/Corals(Accept 4.5)-UP(-8pts)Jumped awful and the poor month continues.(DT-16pts)

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