That was on very heavy ground at Ffos Las.I would always forgive a horse a bad run there on that ground and its been given a break since.
If picking up the progression it was showing then it should go very close here.
The better ground will suit and the jockey has a 24% strike rate for the yard.
Cosway Spirit won this race last year and is 2 from 3 around here.
Its been poor this season however and the yard are a little quiet.
Nalim ran okay last time and is still lightly raced over fences but it needs to find a lot more than whats it done so far.
Back Typical Oscar 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365(Accept 4.0)-Unseated(-12pts)Very soft unseat.
145 Hexham-This is seriously weak.Theres a chance one of the handicap debutantes may step up but im hoping for a bounce back to form for Nautical Twilight.
Its been below par since easily winning 3 starts back but with the yard flying along now(5 wins from last 12 runners) hopefully it can get back to form.
Its only a pound higher than that win and has the stables conditional rider taking over, and his claim of 10Ib makes it look nicely handicapped.
Back Nautical Twilight 6pts at 9.0 at skybet(Accept 7.5)-4th(-6pts)Well backed into 7/2 but never put into the race with the jockey called in front of the stewards.You couldnt make it up really!!!!!(DT-18pts)
455 Hexham-Hopefully the ground wont dry out too much as Notonebuttwo likes a fair bit of cut but this horse looks to hold a fine chance on my ratings.
It was a little below par last time over hurdles but that was at a shorter trip and its last 3 runs at this trip,have resulted in 3 victories.
Its last chase start was 3 runs back and if repeating that effort then it will win this.
Its biggest danger is probably last years winner Samson Collonges but its 0w-1p-6r on good to soft ground and really needs the heavens to open.
Back Notonebuttwo 15pts at 3.5 at Paddys(Accept 3.0)-Fell(-15pts)Joke day in a joke month!(DT-33pts)
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