13th March

320 Cheltenham-if this race was at Kempton then Silviniaco Conti would be an absolute certainty here,as its rating it produced over xmas far exceeds anything else in this line up.
It isnt however,its at a track where there are doubts certainly.It led over the last in this race last year before wandering about to finish a close fourth.
The trainer blamed that on stomach ulcers and sometimes you have to go with them.The cheek pieces have helped and he is having a fine week as well.
The fact is this horse is the best in this race and if producing something close to that Kempton run,will go extremely close.
The bookies are clearly dangling a carrot with the prices available.
Holywell and Coneygree are the two im most concerned about.
The former is a spring horse(Feb to April 6w-1p-8r) and is 2 from 2 here(Both at the last 2 festivals).Its got to improve to take this but everything is in its favour to do so.
Coneygree is a relentless galloper and produced the best speed figure in this race when winning last time.
However the trainer is just 1 from 30 with their chasers here and i wonder if the ground has dried up too much for it.
Back Silviniaco Conti 9pts at 5.5 at various bookies-UP(-9pts)

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