All its best form has been on sharp tracks but on galloping tracks(Including this track where its 0w-0p-5r) its 0w-2p-16r.
The trainer has a poor 1% strike rate here and id have it a much bigger price than it is.
So Its War is unexposed and well treated under a penalty while Home Flyer is very lightly raced
Cabal has been running well and Broctune Papa Gio,although out of sorts this season is back at its favourite track(5 course wins) and is well handicapped.
Rocket Ronnie is going to pop up one of these days but will probably be well backed when it does so.
Lay Nelson Bay 20pts at 6.0-UP(+19pts)
350 Redcar-Its shown very little so far this term but Exclusive Waters catches my eye stepping back in trip here.
Its spent this season racing over further but moves back to the same trip that it last won over.
Its very well handicapped now and if the change in distance works,it could run well at a massive price.
Space War is the obvious danger as Red Paladin has questions to answer over this trip.
Back Exclusive Waters 4pts at 15.0 at Skybet/bet365(Accept 11.0)-5th(-4pts)Nicely backed into 6/1 but once again...no return.(DT+15pts)
810 Hexham-This is a weak race,a fact shown by Gin Cobbler trading at the head of the market.
Although that horse is a fair enough favourite on its recent form,its very beatable and has to be taken on with something.
Im hoping that will be Morning Time,who has a fine course record(4w-4p-21r)
It drops in grade(Class 5 4w-3p-14r) and the trainer has a 25% strike rate here with her handicap chasers.
Add to that,her horses are currently flying(7 winners from last 25 runners) and I can see this going well.
Back Morning Time 6pts at 9.0 at Betfair Sportsbook(Accept 5.5)-4th(-6pts)Typically,Gin Cobbler made all and hosed up(DT+9pts)
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