Theres no guarantee the headgear will work again and for me,this horse has questions to answer on ground and trip.
That last win was over 2 miles 1f and thats the trip its best ratings have been over,When racing over this trip all its figures are around 20Ibs less than its best.
It also needs plenty of rain to arrive as its best with plenty of cut.
Double Silver has to run well as its won 3 of its last 4 starts and drops in class.
Dardanella has solid ratings and wont be far away while Jackies Solitaire makes its debut for the Peter Bowen yard and it would be no surprise if he coaxed a big run out of it.
Lay Morning with Ivan 15pts 6.0 to win 10pts place -Cancelled due to non runner
655 Chepstow-Priors Brook stands out here.Its only had 4 starts and is well clear on my ratings based on its latest run.
The yard won this race last year and twice in the last 5 years.
Evervescent can go well fresh and could be the main danger although Euroquip Boy runs well at the track but is 0 from 11 in this grade.
Back Priors Brook 20pts at 3.25-Won(+45pts)Very well backed and did the business
725 Chepstow-Those at the front of the market look vulnerable to me here.
Zeb Candy Girl won last time on the all weather.My figures suggest its far better on that surface and its got it to prove on fast turf.
It also reappears here under a penalty after 9 days absence,a recent run has proved a problem in the past as its record of 0w-0p-8r shows.
Finally this is a rise in class and its 0w-0p-8r when racing in this grade.
Lady Bayside is a bit more solid and has got good course form but has in the past struggled to win off any marks over 68.It races off 70 here and has to produce a career best at the age of 7.
Prim and Proper could go well dropped in trip but I like Bountybeamadam.
Its been in woeful form so far this season but comes to life in the summer(June to September 3w-1p-10r) and is now 3Ibs below its last winning mark.
The biggest plus is this horse has raced at this track 4 times and finished 1st-1st-3rd-1st.That improves to 3 from 3 if you just include fast ground which it should get in this.
If it can get anywhere close to last seasons best at this track then its around 8Ibs clear of its field.
Back Bountybeamadam 9pts at 5.5-4th(-9pts)The lay of Zeb Candy Girl should have been the call!(DT+36pts)
715 Aintree-Good of Luck won last time but was raised 13Ib for it and now finds itself up in the weights and up in class.
There cant be too many tracks where trainer Warren Greatrex is 0 from 18 but he is here and it looks vulnerable to me.
Buckwheat is totally unexposed and could be anything,a reproduction of its debut victory would see it tough to beat.
Purple`N`Gold is tough and goes very well after a break like todays(80 days+ 2w-0p-3r)
Dovils Date was entitled to need its spin on the flat after a break and is a pretty consistent horse for a trainer/jockey that have a 33% strike rate when teaming up.10
Lay Good Of Luck 15pts at 4.7 to win and 10pts at place-UP(+23.75pts)(DT+59.75pts)
Monthly Total+106.95pts
Running Total+7804.94pts
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