Tickenwolf makes its handicap debut and steps up in trip.It needs to improve a little but the yard are 33% here with their hurdlers.
The best value for me however is Stags Leap.
This horse has course form which is so vital around here,won last time,posting the top rating and a big speed figure.
I do have a little query whether it wants a big break between its races but the price is big enough to take the chance.
I do have a little query whether it wants a big break between its races but the price is big enough to take the chance.
Back Stags Leap 6pts at 9.0 at Betfair sportsbook(Accept 8.0)-Won(+48pts)Really well backed into 7/2 and stayed on well.
815 Newcastle-In the last 5 years,Brian Ellison has raced 4 horses in this race and won with 3 of them.
He runs Fair Loch here.This horse is pretty unexposed on the flat after just 5 runs and the trainer drops it in trip on its first run for this yard.
All of this suggests a big run is expected and its a very fair price.
Easily the biggest danger is Margarets Mission,who produced a shock win last time out at 25/1.
That clearly took connections by surprise and it remains to be seen if it can back it up.
Favourite Treat has a similar profile after winning last time at 33/1 but both will go well if reproducing those runs.
Back Fair Loch 5pts at 11.0 at various bookies-UP(-5pts)Clearly not today it would seem!Never put in the race.(DT+43pts)
Monthly Total+156.6pts
Running Total+7854.59pts
Monthly Total+156.6pts
Running Total+7854.59pts
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