This horse won last time out at this track but over 2m4.Its not managed a place in its 5 runs over further than that distance and on my figures,is an inferior horse by more than a stone over the trip.
It just looks a very false favourite to me especially with the sire having a strike rate of just 3% over todays trip of 3 miles.
Solway Legend will miss at least one fence on the way round but normally stays up and is a rock solid horse in this race.
Its 2 from 6 at this track,stays the trip well and the trainer is an impressive 9 from 30 with her chasers here.
Down Time at its best wouldnt be far away while Shady Sadie and Lord Fox also have chances but the real interesting one is Bar A Mine.
This horse makes its debut for Nigel Twiston-Davies(23% here with his chasers),has only had one run over fences(made fav but fell early on)
It could easily be different class to these.
Lay Bouggietopieces 20pts at 5.0(Lay upto 5.5)-2nd(+19pts)Ran well but always likely to have something stay on better.
345 Goodwood-Most interesting thing in this race is the stamina doubts over most of the field.
Very few are actually proven over this trip and a couple of those that are, wouldnt be good enough to win this.
Battalion is though and appears to handle the soft ground well enough to run its race and if it does,it must go close.
It appears to like this time of year also(August to November 3w-0p-6r)
Basem is clearly the main danger,as the rating is posted last time out is just the best here but that was over a furlong shorter and on good ground.
As a son of Pivotal,it should cope with the ground but it has avoided it so far generally,however whether it copes with the ground and the extra distance is another thing.
Hors De Combat and Wannabe Yours both need to improve for the step up in trip to take this.
Back Battalion 12pts at 4.5 at various bookies(Accept 4.0)Won(+36pts *Non runners*)Favourite never going and Battalion stayed on well(DT+55pts)
Monthly Total-45.75pts
Running Total+8352.47pts
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