29th September

220 Southwell-Hard to imagine a poorer race than this and Chankillo has a poor win record but its only had four starts over fences and looks like it may be improving.
It produced its best run yet,last time out behind a progressive winner and a repeat of that,would see it go very close.
Tom Scudamore takes over for the first time and that cant be a negative,if it could bowl along in front like last time,that would be ideal especially around here.
The other pace angle is Shady Glen,who fell last week when running well.
That was over further than this however and it remains to be seen how the drop in distance goes.It is 0 from 13 so far in its career.
Quite difficult to see any of the other four winning this but its not the most reliable group of animals.
Back Chankillo 10pts at 4.5 at Corals/bet365(Accept 4.3)-Fell(-10pts)1.04 at the last fence when it came down,That says it all.Would have won!

255 Southwell-Cut the Corner must win one of these soon.It continually posts consistent ratings and after only 2 starts over fences,its ratings continue to rise.
Its last run puts it top of my figures and im pretty sure it will start as favourite.
That honour currently goes to Boss in Boots.This horse does drop in class and ran well last time but hasnt got any worthwhile form over this trip of 2m4f.
I can see it being vulnerable late on and it is still 12Ibs above its highest winning mark.
Ballbogey is reliable and although not having much in hand in the weights,will stay well and shouldnt be far away,similar comments apply to Zama Zama.
Swing Hard does interest me a bit,although returning from an absence,the yard are in great form,its well handicapped and the jockey is 8 from 16 for this yard.
Lay Boss in Boots 15pts at 3.5(Layupto 4.3) Lay 10pts to place-UP(+23.75)Drifted all day.Solid lay selection.

305 Sedgefield-Looks a two horse race to me.The Back Up Plan has only had 3 runs over fences and has decent chances on its last run.
This is a rise in class however and its giving away lumps of weight.On value grounds,you have to be with Sendiym.
This horse loves it around here(Sedgefield 4w-2p-8r),its 3 from 9 over this trip and its 4w-1p-10r during September and October.
It couldnt have a better pilot than Brian Hughes and I expect this horse to go close.
Humbel Ben is 12yo now and although it has bits and pieces on form,it would prefer softer ground.
Back Sendiym 12pts at 5.0 at Paddys(Accept 4.0)-2nd(-12pts)Money for it and just beaten by The Back Up Plan(Touched 1.43 in running).(DT+1.75pts)

340 Sedgefield-Another race that looks between 2 horses.
Ever So Much has put together 2 good performances back to back and is 2 from 2 around here.
Its 3w-1p-5r in September and its 4w-1p-8r in fields of 9 or less.its price is borderline value and I will include it as a saver.
The only horse I see causing it problems is the lightly raced Howaboutnever.
Its up in class but has been quite consistent in its few runs and this is Daryl Jacobs only ride of the day.It is the value in the race.
Back Howaboutnever 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-UP
Back Ever So Much 5pts at 4.0 at Bet365(Accept 3.75)-2nd(-15pts)(DT-13.25pts)

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