11th October

250 Musselburgh-Kelvin Hall stands out on my figures here and its possible Joe Fanning could get away from them around here & hang on as this horse can sometimes finish a little tamely.
Its raced mainly on good or good to soft ground so this faster ground is an unknown but the sire has plenty of offspring that have done well on the ground,so im not concerned on that front.
The trainer has a 20% strike rate here and I would have it clear favourite.
Canny Style has won its last two,over slightly further and on softer ground.Those wins need to be improved upon and on its ratings over this trip and ground then this horse has work to do.
Amy Blair steps up in trip but is in good form while Meddlesome is lightly raced for a yard that do very well here.It needs to take a big jump forward on what its done so far but thats not impossible.
Back Kelvin Hall 11pts at 5.0 at Bet365/Betfred/Totesport-2nd(-11pts)Once again we got the value as it got punted into 9/4 but just got ran out of it.

550 Leicester-This step up in trip looks ideal for Al Nasser Alwashik,whos been finishing well over shorter.Its ratings over a mile give it a fine chance and anything around that level over this trip,would make it tough to beat.
Artists Model has finished 1st and 3rd on its 2 starts here and rates the biggest danger.
Back Al Nasser Alwashik 12pts at 4.5 at Bet365-Won(+48pts Paid out BOG)Fine ride by De Sousa saving every inch and dug deep to prevail(DT+37pts)
Month Total+115.25pts
Runing Total+8783.22pts