11th December

1215 Southwell-The Jugopolist has spent the majority of its chasing career in far better company than this and this is actually a drop in grade after it won well last time, when running from out of the handicap.
This is such a weak affair that the only thing that can stop it from winning is if the race comes too soon as its a whole stone clear on my ratings.I would want to see an aggressive ride from the front and that should find most of these out.
Midnight Jade goes well around here and is the main danger but it shouldnt be favourite.
Back The Jugopolist 13pts at 4.0 at Marathon Bet-4th(-13pts)

135 Carlisle-The most likely winner here is West of the Edge but theres little value in its price and although its ratings are good,it hasnt posted a decent speed figure yet and this is likely to be run at a decent clip with Scotswell and Basford Ben lining up.
Ballyben should run well for a yard with a 41% strike rate here but again its price is about right.
The value for me is Cyclop,who ran a fine race last time and now gets the services of a good 5Ib claimer onboard for the first time.
Its 2 from 5 going right handed and all its best runs have been when returned to the track within 30 days.
Back Cyclop 6pts at 10.0 at various bookies-3rd(-6pts)(DT-19pts)