27th December

315 Chepstow-Aso is the right favourite and the most likely winner,as it drops in class for a stable that have won 3 of the last 4 runnings but as ever with me,theres has to be value in the price and there isnt with that particular horse.
Grey Gold has won first time out the last 2 seasons ,so could go well on its seasonal debut but ive got it a better horse at shorter than this.
Ultragold looks to have it do here at a trip further than it prefers while Tornado in Milan is in fine fettle at present but needs to find a jolt of improvement from somewhere.
Drumlee Sunset is lightly raced over fences and improving but it has nearly a stone to find with Aso on what its done so far,on my figures,so will clearly need to come on again.
The value lies with On Tour,who ran poorly last time over possibly a trip too far but significantly in a big field.Its much better in small field like this(7 runners or less 3w-1p-4r) ,is 5w-2p-10r when returning to the track within 60 days and a repeat of its run 2 starts back would see it going very close here.
Back On Tour 6pts at 10.0 at various bookies-3rd(-6pts)Halved in price but although given too much to do,it wasnt good enough.

330 Kempton-On just its second start for Colin Tizzard,Bally Longford produced a career best ratiing,in a much better race at Cheltenham than this,last time out,only getting worn down late on over slightly further.
The drop back in trip will surely suit but also going right handed will surely bring about more improvement(R/H 5w-5p-15r compared to 0/9 L/H).I expect it to go close.
Go Conquer fell last time but was improving before that,it rates the biggest danger although More Bucks is progressing and is a slightly bigger price than ive got it.
Back Bally Longford 12pts at 4.5 at Various bookies-UP(-12pts)This has ran way below form in keeping with this months tips in general.Pretty poor stuff(DT-18pts)