28th January

155 Doncaster-Im Surprised to see Gardefort trading at such a big price.
This horse ran well last time behind a big Improver and that rating puts it right in the mix here.
Its at its best after a little break(30 days+ 2w-0p-4r)  and it should easily outrun its odds.
Cyrius Moriviere has failed to get round on its last 3 starts and hasnt as of yet,produced a rating that gets it close to the best of these,so it looks far too short in the market.
Upsilon Bleu ran well last time and has chances while Yorkist and Double W`s are respected.
Back Gardefort 7pts at 9.5 at Paddys-4th(-7pts)Cyrius Moriviere was well stuffed but Gardefort srayed on too late.

230 Doncaster-For a horse that apparently is more at home on better ground,Back A Hare Breath posted a fine rating on very soft ground on its debut over fences last time.
With improvement expected for the experience and faster terrain then this horse should be clear fav.
In the last 5 years,no horse carrying penalties taking it to 11st7 have managed to win so that puts Cloudy Dream and Marracudja up against it.
Forest Bihan is the other in the field and it is slowly improving.
Back A Hare Breath 16pts at 3.25 at Ladbrokes/Coral-3rd(-16pts)Well backed but not good enough!

245 Uttoxeter-Le Rocher is the most likely winner but is priced accordingly especially as it hasnt proved its stamina over this trip.
Tintern Theatre makes its handicap debut and is expected to improve while Theatrebar won on its first start for the Skelton yard and has chances although this is 2 grades up for it.
The value lies with Shades Of Midnight,who has a interesting profile.
Its not quite captured last seasons form but this horse normally finds its form at the turn of the year(Jan-Apr 5w-3p-9r compared to 0w-1p-7r the rest of the year).
Its record on soft/heavy ground is 4w-2p-9r and returning to the track within 60 days is 5w-2p-11r.
It may be a touch too high in the weights but it has to be supported at the prices.
Back Shades of Midnight 5pts at 11.0 at Corals/Betvictor-4th(-5pts)Hopeless day...Hopeless Week!(DT-28pts)
Monthly Total+33.9pts
Running Total+8662.17pts