19th October

220 Ascot-Maarek has an excellent record on soft ground(Form Figures of 1st-1st-2nd-1st-1st-4th-1st),is 2w-1p-4r in October,has won at this track and is 6w-2p-12r when returning to the track within 14 days or less.There are no negatives in its profile and it is a very solid favourite.
Jack Dexter is respected despite having a few pounds to find on my ratings.Its 5w-1p-6r on Soft/Heavy ground but its trainer is struggling for winners.
Mass Rally has a chance while Slade Power and Viztoria have to bounce back from below par runs last time.
Back Maarek 11pts at 4.3-UP(-11pts)Started Slowly and ran a shocker

405 Ascot-Cirrus Des Aigles has finished 1st and 2nd in this the last 2 years and comes here on the back of 2 wins.On my ratings however,its recent ratings are 12Ibs below its best last season and I make it a vulnerable favourite.
Farhh has an umblemished record fresh(80 days or more 4w-0p-4r) and is respected but there is a doubt about it on very soft ground.
The clear value for me is Mukhadram,whos been given a break of 84 days since its last run(Absence of 80 days or more 1w-1p-2r) and I expect it to come back to its best on a track where it was a good 2nd during the Royal meeting.
Back Mukhadram 4pts at 16.0-5th(-4pts)Fav was vulnerable and no surprise Farhh was the one to take advantage.The selection travelled well but couldnt go with them from 3 out(-15pts)
Accept 12.0

750 Wolverhampton-Dilgura is very unexposed and could be far better than these.The presence of Shane Kelly onboard it immediately puts me off though and I always prefer to see a horse do it around one of the All Weather tracks before believing they handle it.
The same cant be said about Burren View Lady,whos form figures at this track and over this trip are 1st-1st-1st.
This horse beat a progressive All Weather horse last time and I would expect it to be bang there at the death.
Back Burren View Lady 9pts at 5.0-2nd(Wasnt Matched)Beaten by the danger
Monthly Total+112.60pts
Running Total+5727.03pts

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