24th October

910 Wolverhampton-Muthafar will be popular on its handicap debut from a big yard.It does need to improve though on my ratings and was beaten 8 lengths last time.Its sire is only 3/73 on the surface.
Take it on with Lyric Piece,whos top rated and its trainer is 23% with his horses here.
Back Lyric Piece 9pts at 6.0 at Ladbrokes-4th(-9pts)Another race where taking the fav on was correct but the selection wasnt good enough.Given every chance but looked a little short of pace
Accept 5.5

2.0 Southwell-Its hard to imagine a worse race than this.Cara Court came back to form last time when dropped in trip but its no certainty to repeat it and 3/1 is short enough.
Cloudy Dawn is next best but even its latest run puts it 7Ibs behind Cara Court while Inandover fell at the 1st last time,wont want any more rain and has never won.
I can see there being a turn up and will risk a little on Ballyvoneen,who has more letters than numbers in its form these day.However its dropped in class for the first time since it won its last race(6 runs ago),its 5w-1p-18r in fields of 9 or less.In this class 2w-1p-6r and over this trip 3w-1p-7r.
The price is so big it warrants an interest with those at the front of the market looking vulnerable.
Back Ballyvoneen 3pts at 18.0-4th(-3pts)Ran a great race and turning in looked like it may prevail(Touched 1.7 in running) but just weakened near the finish.(DT-12pts)
Accept 13.0

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