Alpha Victor returns from over 200 days off and although it holds a class edge over some of these,it finished last season poorly and the trainer hasnt trained a winner in the last 2 years(0/61) that had been off for over 61 days.
Final Assault is the favourite and although I can see it going very close,it looks a little short for a horse that my ratings suggest is better at shorter.
Chavoy is 2 from 4 here and will love the ground but its not got the ratings to win this and tends to run at least a stone below its best after a long break like today.
Plus Jamais has decent course form but all at shorter.Its got a big stamina doubt,is 0w-0p-8r in this class and tends to start winning from January onwards.
Presented could go well if it handles the ground.It can be an in and out performer but is a strong stayer and is respected.
The one I like is Un Noble,who made a solid chasing debut last month.
Its obviously unexposed and will appreciate the softer ground and extra distance.
The trainers runners in chases at this track and in the front 2 in the betting market have a very respectable 41%(22/53) strike rate in the last 2 years.
Back Un Noble 12pts at 4.5(Already advised)-4th(-12pts)Well beaten in the end.
Monthly Total+50.75pts
Running Total+8348.95pts
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