This horse is clearly an all weather horse(3/3) but probably even more a Wolverhampton/Tapeta specialist.
Its raced on the new surface here twice and won both times by a combined distance of over 6 lengths,which is pretty good over 6 furlongs.
It drops down to the minimum here but I dont envisage that as a problem but as ever with this yard,strength in the market will tell the horses chance.
Falsify hasnt done much in its two starts at this track but has improved since being dropped to 5 furlongs elsewhere,so could continue that improvement here.
Innocently is well handicapped but looks an unreliable type.
Back Bosham 10pts at 5.0 at Paddys(Accept 4.3)-3rd(-10pts)Strong in the market but got mown down in the final 100 yards out
145 Musselburgh-Throthehatch looks progressive over fences and im expecting better now it steps up in trip.
Its clear on my figures,is 2w-0p-4r in fields of 9 or less and the sire has a 23% strike rate at this track.
Interestingly,Trainer Lucinda Russell does well here with her chasers(23%) but if you take her horses at this track,over fences,that won their previous race by at least 5 lengths and the strike rate improves to 55%(6 from 11)
The Backup Plan has been mopping up lesser events but fell last time and is 0w-0p-5r going right handed.
Rear Admiral likes coming second(Finished there last 4 starts) and will need some improvement from somewhere to take this.
Back Throthehatch 18pts at 3.0 at Paddys/betvictor-UP(-18pts)Well backed but a poor run and a strange ride.
120 Domcaster-Im a little surprised,Enchanted Garden isnt favourite here.
Its latest run posted the best rating on offer here,which suggested its really got the hang of fences now and is clearly improving.
If anything,this drop in trip will suit even more.Good ground is ideal,its 2 from 3 with blinkers on(Fell the other start when in the lead) and its 7w-4p-20r in fields of 11 or less.
Volz D`Eau has been consistent and may still have some improvement in it but even so,its much shorter in the betting than I have it.
Buck Mulligan posted 2 good ratings back to back on its latest starts but has just 1 win to its name since 2012 and is usually worth taking on.
Off The Ground is 2 from 4 around here and has conditions to suit but im not convinced its the horse it was.
Back Enchanted Garden 10pts at 5.0 at various bookies-Fell(-10pts)Took a crashing fall halfway round.
Was really hopeful for today but it turned out very disappointingly.(DT-38pts)
Monthly Total+83.25pts
Running Total+8281.45pts
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