13th November

225 Hexham-There are various reasons to think Habbie Simpson could run well here on its first run after a break of 159 days.
Its record after an absence of between 121 to 365 days is 2w-0p-4r.
Its 3w-1p-7r over this distance and drops back into a grade where its a force(Class 4 2w-1p-6r).
Its also interesting when this trainer drops a horse in class,she has a strike rate of 22% compared to their normal strike rate of 11%.
It hasnt raced here before and very heavy ground is an unknown but it is 3 from 5  on soft.
Trust Thomas has a poor record after a break and it has a poor win record,although the yard going okay,I dont fancy it here.
Clan William isnt badly weighted on its 2014 chase form but its still not proven over this distance.
Tikkandemickey and Surprise Vendor both have very good course form and cant be discounted.
Back Habbie Simpson 7pts at 8.0 at various bookies-PU(-7pts)Hate this track and might stay away from it from now on.

130 Lingfield-Yodelling is respected for a yard that do well here but its short enough at 6/4.
Oakley Girl is 1 from 1 here and the yard do quite well here is handicaps(17%) but its ratings still need improving on if the front two run their race.
The one I like is Ajaadat,who has decent all weather form but hasnt raced here or over this distance.
However its sire does well here(20%) and it should like the step up in trip(21% over 10f).
This yard have an eyecatching record at this track(20%) which improves to 26% if just restricted to handicaps but gets up to 30% when just focusing on when the yards runners are in the front 2 in the market,at this track and in handicaps.
Its a big price.
Back Ajaadat 8pts at 6.0(Already advised)-2nd(-8pts)Plenty of money for it but was mown down just yards from the line.(-15pts)

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