This horse has got its act together since being fitted with blinkers and produced a career best last time over further than this.
Its the clear form pick on my figures and appears to have the more exposed horses covered,it all depends on how good the handicap debutant is.
Valiant Creek and Daliance are respected but need to improve if the selection runs its race while Ballinalacken looks a bit short to me despite winning here last time.
Its form before that win was very patchy to say the least and as it went off at 16/1,its unlikely a good run was expected.
Back Kleitomachos 10pts at 5.0 at Betvictor/Ladbrokes-Pulled UP(-10pts)Broke blood vessel.
220 Huntingdon-Last years winner(And tipped up as a selection) Arbeo has very little negatives here and surely has to go close.
Its been running in much better races than this and drops down in grade,at a track it goes well at(Huntingdon 1st-1st-3rd).
It always gets into a gear at the turn of the year(Jan-Mar 5w-1p-9r) ,is 3 from 6 on heavy ground and clearly knows when to win(Been favourite 4 times and won them all!)
Anything close to last seasons rating in this race will make it very tough to beat.
Serious opposition is thin on the ground,Bus Named Desire has a fairly consistent profile over fences but will need to improve and this isnt normally a track for hold up horses.
Veauce De Sivola came back to a bit of form last time and has won over this trip over hurdles,its probably the main danger.
Back Arbeo 20pts at 2.75 at various bookies-Won(+35pts)Tremendous ride when it didnt look likely.(DT+25pts)
No comments:
Post a Comment