Its one hurdle race was an easy win over course and distance and that rating/speed figure makes it a massive runner here.
When this trainer has a runner that is or sharing favouritism in a novice hurdle like this,he has a 60% strike rate(21 winners from 35 runners)
The Willie Mullins pair Thomas Hobson and Open Eagle are both respected while Final Nudge is improving.
Back Born Survivor 14pts at 3.5-4th(-14pts)
205 Wetherby-Maybe Mwaleshi isnt in the same form as last season but its below par runs this season have all been on goodish ground and it now gets its preferred much softer surface.
Its tumbled down the weights and drops in trip,it would be no surprise if the excellent Danny Cook(24% strike rate for this yard) sets a strong pace up front.
It likes it here with 2 course wins from 4 starts and is 5w-1p-13r in fields of 7 or less but that improves to 4w-0p-7r when just taking races on soft/heavy ground.
It just looks the wrong price to me.
This is a good race however,Sir Valentino brings the best recent form and should run well but could be a better horse going right handed.
Gardefort is totally unexposed but did pull up last time while Upsilon Bleu could go well on its favourite surface.
Back Mwaleshi 6pts at 8.0 at betvictor/Paddys/Boyles-3rd(-6pts)
240 Wetherby-The lightly raced Maxie T appeals most here,after winning easily last time out ,on just its 2nd start for this yard.
That was a career best and if repeated,it will be tough to beat.
Vendor won last time but maybe slightly better at shorter while both Master Jake and Divine Port are improving but will need to do so again if the selection repeats its latest effort.
Back Maxie T 10pts at 5.0 at hills(Accept 4.3)-UP(-10pts)Hopeless day!(DT-30pts)
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